As the season is just four races old, there’s still plenty we don’t know. We’d like to speculate whether or not someone can beat out Jimmie Johnson for the championship, we’d like to opine on who that might be, but really, no one knows.
You do wonder though, if the week off will provide teams that are struggling a chance to re-trench and put it back together. Another burning question is one of whether or not that overachievers can become the Juan Pablo Montoya of 2010.
That’s the fun of the unfolding season, seeing what holds and what doesn’t….
The Big 10
10) Tony Stewart- (ranked 8th last week)- It’s tempting to give this spot to an upstart like Scott Speed or Paul Menard, but does anyone seriously believe that Stewart won’t be a championship contender come November? I didn’t think so. He’ll be just fine. Believe it.
9) Mark Martin- (ranked 3rd last week)- A key figure in the Hendrick Motorsports debacle. In spite of finishing 33rd, Martin is still infinitely better off than he was this time last year. Believe it or not, that lousy finish was better than what he had last year, when Martin spent most of his day WATCHING the race.
8) Clint Bowyer- (ranked 5th last week)- The RCR revival hit a pothole last week for Bowyer and teammate Jeff Burton. In this humble opinion, he’ll be back come Bristol. The cars are too good, and Bowyer has too much skill to be regarded as otherwise.
7) Juan Pablo Montoya- (unranked last week)- Let’s face it, this is where the guy really belongs. The car is there, the skill is there. JPM has been killed by bad luck…until Atlanta. He always does well on speed tracks. Makes you wonder how the continually improving former open wheel ace will fair in the tight quarters of Bristol.
6) Kasey Kahne- (unranked last week)- Those footsteps you’re hearing belong to one Kasey Kenneth Kahne (want to bet the guy never had any monogrammed shirts growing up?). After a couple of duff outings to open the season, Kahne’s coming alive. In fact, I was just sure he was our race winner last Sunday.
5) Kurt Busch- (unranked last week)- Winning makes a great cure-all. Boding even better for Busch’s fortunes is that Bristol is his best track. If you think about, the 2004 champion is starting in a fashion reminiscent of how he ran in 2009. That wasn’t so bad. One thing’s for sure: he’s hit it off quite well with new crew chief Steve Addington. That has to eat at Kurt’s kid brother.
4) Greg Biffle- (ranked 6th last week)- Here’s further proof that Jack Roush and Company aren’t as bad off as I once thought. Four races, four top tens. It’s exclusive company. An 8th place finish at Atlanta won’t get you feeling all excited, but it has to feel good to be in this place, when you haven’t run an exceptional race yet.
3) Matt Kenseth- (ranked 4th last week)- I’ve got to tell you Matt the Brat is far exceeding any expectation I had of him. It bodes well for the 2003 champion, or any other driver for that matter, when you’ve shown you’ve got the speed and you’ve got the team to handle the plethora of downforce tracks. Yes, Kenseth fans, you can believe.
2) Kevin Harvick- (ranked 2nd last week)- You know you’re going well when you struggle with an evil car and still come out of a race with a top ten. It’s a far cry from last year, when it was plain to anyone with any degree of intellectual honesty that “Happy” was not, and he wanted out of Richard Childress Racing. It will be interesting to see how Harvick fairs at Bristol- an RCR haven.
1) Jimmie Johnson- (ranked 1st last week)- Tempting as it may be to think that the four-time champ is falling off, the truth is a 12th place finish ain’t all that bad. I can think of at least 28 drivers who would like to have a week that bad. Now if he’s not winning in the Chase that’s one thing, but we’re nowhere near there yet.
FALLING OFF THE PACE
Jeff Gordon will recover at some point at be just fine. The jury is still out on the ever-improving Joey Logano, though let us not forget that he was a victim of circumstances, the lesser known victim of the early race dust-up between Carl Edwards and Brad Keselowski. Jeff Burton is someone we haven’t seen the last of, either.
- READY TO STRIKE
You’ll have to excuse me if I’m not quite ready to jump on the Paul Menard and Scott Speed bandwagon just yet. By the same token, they’re making this early 2010 an interesting one to watch. Marcos Ambrose is also continuing his ascent after a disastrous beginning to the season.
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