Bump-Drafts.com

Wisconsin’s own Matt Kenseth has been running well and he’s due for a win. In my humble opinion, it will happen here at Tennesee’s famed short track. The numbers are with me on this selection.

Of all active drivers, Kenseth has the highest driver rating at Bristol. In 16 races at Bristol, Kenseth has 2 wins, 7 top 5’s, and 9 top 10’s. This gives the 36 year old a driver rating of 111, easily outdistancing (in order) Greg Biffle, Kevin Harvick, Tony Stewart and Dale Earnhardt Jr.

When you have 43 cars running around a half-mile track, running up front will be important. Thanks to the qualifying rain-out, Kenseth will start towards the front. This should keep him away from those early race wrecks. Aerodynamics won’t be as big a factor here, but it’s like they say, unless you’re the lead dog, the view is all the same.

Matty also has the reputation for good car care. This helps no matter where you run.

Kenseth has also been running a very stout car from the beginning of the season. That fender bender at Vegas didn’t help him, but that was Jeff Gordon’s doing.

I look for many of the usual suspects to have something for the #17. Junior, Stewart, Harvick and Biffle will definitely be there. You also can’t out the red-hot Kyle Busch and Carl Edwards. Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon haven’t gone anywhere either, and they’ll be eager to improve their standing in the points.

As Colin Raye says, “that’s my story, and I’m sticking to it.”